Tagged: Wilmington Blue Rocks

Comparing the Future: Hunter Dozier and Tim Anderson

When you compare 2 players with one another it’s typically because they play the same position or they have similar characteristics. But in the case of Hunter Dozier and Tim Anderson, the only things they have in common is that they play in the same league and were drafted the same year. Both players were originally drafted as short stops but Dozier was immediately moved to third because his 6’6″ frame is better suited for the hot corner. The 8th pick in the 1st round, Dozier was slotted to be in the back part of the 1st round but due to his signability, the Kansas City Royals decided to take him much higher. Hunter ended his first professional season playing with the low A Lexington Legends. In only 15 games, he hit .327 with 18 hits and 9 RBI and apparently did enough to show the Royals that he deserved to start the 2014 season with the high A Wilmington Blue Rocks. In the first 12 games of this season, the 22 year old has struggled a bit. He is currently batting .174 with 5 RBI and 7 runs scored. Players tend to press when they make the move up but what concerns me the most about his step up is that in 27 games between the South Atlantic and Carolina Leagues, he has yet to hit a homerun.

The top 3 hitters in the Blue Rocks lineup has struggled which certainly doesn’t help Hunter from pressing at the plate. Adalberto Mondesi, the top rated hitting prospect in the Royals farm system, is batting leadoff at a .243 average. Bubba Starling, the 5th pick taken in the 2011 draft, is batting a miserable .098 and then you have Dozier in the 3 hole. Hunter tends to lunge at outside pitches helping pitchers get him out on balls outside the strike zone. Not only must he be more patient to help his own numbers but if he waited, it would make pitchers have to throw the ball over the plate to the two batters in front of him. Right now, Wilmington as a team is the worst hitting team in the Carolina League with a .204 average and the second worst in runs scored with 46.

Where Hunter has to be more disciplined at the plate, he appears to be an above average 3rd baseman. Ranked as the 10th best in the minors, he has decent range (especially to his glove side) and has a very powerful arm from across the diamond. He also has yet to make an error at 3rd which is very impressive for a young player playing the hot corner.

Tim Anderson, when being compared to Dozier, looks to be the complete opposite in both aspects of the game at this point in their young careers. Anderson was the 3rd shortstop taken in last years draft at #17 and was immediately sent to play for the Kannapolis Intimidators of the South Atlantic League. In 68 games last year he batted .277 with 45 runs scored and 24 stolen bases.

Tim is a free swinger, just like Dozier, tying for second in the Carolina League this year with 19 strikeouts. Although he struggles with the outside pitch, he can work the count more into his favor which has helped him to hit about 100 points higher then his Blue Rocks counterpart at .271. The #2 hitter in the Winston Salem Dash’s lineup, he has benefited from having one of the hottest players in the league hitting behind him in Courtney Hawkins. Hawkins is leading the Carolina League with 15 RBI which is in part because Anderson can create runs when he is on base. Anderson ranks 5th in runs scored with 8.

Simply put, Tim’s biggest problem with his game comes from out in the field. The 21 year old shortstop tends to rush his throws and has already committed 7 errors in just 11 games. He appears to have a strong arm but must learn to set his feet when he is making his throws to first. Range wise, I would say he is better than average. He reacts quickly to the ball off the bat and looks like he can cover the 3rd base hole better than he can towards the middle of the field.

Both players could see different obstacles from them advancing through their respective organizations. Dozier could hit a snag in his development if another top 3rd base prospect, Cheslor Cuthbert, makes adjustments while at AA North West Arkansas. Cuthbert is a more polished hitter and is slightly younger but they both seem to be about equal out in the field. If the White Sox feel like Anderson is not progressing at short, it is possible that they could see him moving to centerfield. He certainly has the speed to cover the outfield and looks like he could have the arm to do it as well.

Based on where they are right now, I would say that both players will need at least 2 years before they see any major league time. Hunter has the build to be a middle of the line up type hitter but must learn to use his legs and patience in order to create more power in his game. Tim looks like he could be a potential top of the order hitter but will only go as far as his defense takes him. Either way, I would say that both will be competing in the American League Central against one another for some time.

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Breaking Down the Future: Hunter Dozier

After doing some research last year, I discovered something that really boggled my mind: Apparently teams were willing to take players higher in a baseball draft than where they were projected because of their willingness to sign with that particular team. In an attempt to educate you, the reader, without being extremely long winded,  a team is allotted a certain amount of money to use on their draft picks which is determined by where the pick is and what round is in question. If a team has 30 picks in a draft and they pick 5th in each round, MLB will do a tally and tell that team how much they can use total on those picks. A team may sign a pick at any amount they wish as long as the total that is given doesn’t go over that allotted amount. Some teams will take a player higher then where they were projected because the player is willing to sign for less and allowing the drafting team to use more money throughout the draft to get their players signed.

The reason I gave that little breakdown is because Kansas City Royals 2013 top pick, Hunter Dozier, fell into that category. Originally projected to be drafted somewhere around 35-40, the Royals ended up taking Dozier 8th because he would be cheaper to sign then other players. This does not mean that he doesn’t have talent. While at Stephen F Austin University, Dozier batted .394 with 17 home runs and 54 RBI his Junior year.

After being drafted, the Royals immediately moved the shortstop to third base due to his 6’6″ frame. He certainly has a strong enough arm and even though he allowed a ball to get past him in tonights game against the Winston-Salem Dash, looks like he has the range and instincts to play the hot corner. He currently ranks as the 10th best third baseman in the minors.

At the plate, Dozier is a very aggressive hitter. As seen in his 4 plate appearances tonight, he tends to swing at anything close to the plate which has helped in him to having 8 strikeouts in his first 9 games (2 tonight). He currently is batting third in the Wilmington Blue Rocks line up and he might be feeling a little bit of pressure considering their #2 hitter, Bubba Starling, is only hitting .114. Hunter needs to be a little more patient at the plate and work the counts into his favor. Although tonights game was very well pitched by both starting pitchers, the game only lasted 2 hours and 4 minutes.

Hunter may be regarded as the best 3rd base prospect in the Royals organization but in my opinion it’s not by much. Cheslor Cuthbert, who plays for the AA Northwest Arkansas Naturals, is one year younger and may be a better fielder than Dozier is right now. Hunter will need to keep his progression up throughout the season in order to maintain his top spot. Since he hasn’t had a full season under his minor league belt, I am going to assume he is going to stay in Wilmington for the majority of the season and could join Cuthbert late this season. Kansas City has a history of pushing players through their minor league systems so it is possible he could reach the majors sometime next year but most likely he will need 2 full seasons before he is ready on the major league level.

Please feel free to stop by and visit my face book page, https://www.facebook.com/baseballfuture if you are interested in seeing other break downs on other future top prospects and pictures. I look forward to seeing you there!

 

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5 Prospects you never heard of….but will

If you are a fan of minor league baseball you have probably heard of some of the bigger names who are on the verge of being called up to the majors. Players like Will Myers and Zach Wheeler are making their anticipated debuts with their teams and are getting the press on ESPN. But there are several players who aren’t even looked at as top prospects by their own teams who are putting up some huge numbers. So with me making several trips this year to a few of the local stadiums, I thought I would pick 5 players I have seen who have impressed me the most.

1. Jose Ramirez: Jose, a starting pitcher within the Yankees organization, started the season out with AA Trenton of the Eastern League. Although he is ranked by MLB.COM as New York’s 13th best prospect, he has pitched better then some of the players ranked in the top 100. I have seen Trenton play twice this year and both times Ramirez was the starting pitcher. He often hit the gun at 96 mph and had some nasty movement. So nasty in fact he had a tendency to over throw and had a three wild pitches against Harrisburg on June 1st. With games against Harrisburg and Bowie, Ramirez had 12 innings pitched with 12 strikeouts and going 1-1 while giving up 5 earned runs. After posting an ERA of 2.86 in 9 games, Ramirez was moved up to AAA Scranton-Wilkes Barre and made his first start there on June 14th.

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2. Luke Jackson: This 2010 first round draft pick of the Rangers is ranked as the teams 12th best prospect. All he has done in the Carolina League has posted it’s best ERA at 2.18 and made the All Star team with the Myrtle Beach Pelicans. Jackson, who is listed as 6’2″, has a devastating fastball with lots of movement. Back on May 19th I had a chance to see him pitch against Wilmington. He went 5 innings with 2 earned runs and 6 strike outs. Luke has been a very consistent pitcher though out the season. He has matched 6 k’s in 5 innings in half of his starts this year.

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3. Cheslor Cuthbert: If you been reading my posts you know how high I am on this Kansas City Royals 3rd base prospect. Cuthbert has one of the best swings I have seen this year in any league. Although he has only hit 2 home runs this year with the Wilmington Blue Rocks,  Cheslor was ranked 2nd in the Carolina League in doubles with 21. In 2012 he was named as the best infield arm in the Royals organization and proved it several times in the games I seen him play in. Cuthbert was named as the 8th best 3rd base prospect in the minors and was moved up to AA NW Arkansas on Friday.

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4. Christian Walker: Walker, the Orioles 16th ranked prospect, started his 2013 season on fire in Delmarva and hasn’t stopped after his move up to Frederick. In 66 total games played this year between both stops, Christian is batting .321 with 7 home runs and 43 RBI. Walkers potential has caused the team to move their #5 prospect, Nick Delmonico, from first to third to make room for him. Walker has a quick swing and is able to stay down on the ball to drive it to all parts of the field. It would not shock me to see him make another move to Bowie before the end of the season.

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5. Tyler Naquin: This 2012 first round draft pick as been overshadowed by his Carolina Mud Cat team mate, Francisco Lindor, for most of the season. However, his .311 batting average ranks second in the Carolina League and he is pacing the league with 83 hits. Naquin ranks as the 6th best prospect in the Indians organization and is making a strong push to be in that top 100 prospects in 2014. Like Lindor, Naquin was named to the Carolina League All Star game and will be the starting center fielder against the California league tomorrow night.

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Updating the future: June 15, 2013

With all the minor league all star games coming up over the next week or two, I thought it would be a good idea to update what some of the players have done since I seen them. A few of them actually made the all-star team and a couple have moved up.

1. Francisco Lindor: The Cleveland Indians #1 prospect has slumped slightly of late but his overall numbers helped him to be named the starting shortstop on the Carolina League All-Star team. Lindor is batting .296 with 72 hits and 34 runs scored. He is ranked as the #2 shortstop prospect in the minors and rated #13 over all on MLB.COM.

2. Brian Goodwin: Voting for the Eastern League All Star game will be going on for another couple of weeks but with Brian ranking 3rd in the league in runs scored (42), I am sure he is going to get some votes. The Washington Nationals #2 rated prospect has also taken over the league lead in triples with 7 and still ranks in the top 10 in stolen bases with 12. However, he appears to still be struggling with that average at .236 and is still striking out quite a bit. Goodwin ranks as the 47th ranked over all player on MLB.COM.

3. Kyle Zimmer: Zimmer, the #2 ranked Kansas City Royals prospect, may have finally got that monkey off his back by winning his first game of the year last week. His ERA actually rose to over 6.00 at one point but hopefully that win will put him back on track for the second half of the year. Kyle is ranked tied for 5th in strikeouts with 71. He is listed as the 31st over all prospect and as the #10 rated right handed pitcher in the minors.

4. Luis Sardinas: Sardinas also made the Carolina League All Star Team and will be backing up Lindor at the shortstop position. The #3 rated Texas Rangers prospect is still looking for his 1st home run on the season and like Lindor has struggled just slightly over the last month. However he is still batting .282 and ranks 3rd in the league in stolen bases (19). Luis is now ranked 75th over all and has been named as the #10 short stop prospect in the minors.

5. Tyler Austin: The Yankees #3 rated prospect has been steady since the Eastern League season started. Although his numbers aren’t overwhelming he ranks in the top 20 in RBI (35) and has gotten his average up slightly to .272. Tyler is ranked as the 67th over all prospect by MLB.COM.

6. Slade Heathcott: If you look at his over all numbers, you may say that the #4 rated Yankees prospect has struggled all year long. However,Slade has been able to stay healthy for the most part and hopefully that will carry on through the second half for the first time in his career. He is currently batting .241 with 31 runs scored and 30 RBI. He currently ranks as the 92nd best minor league prospect by MLB.COM.

7. Cheslor Cuthbert: Cheslor has had a decent couple of months for the Wilmington Blue Rocks in the Carolina League and the Royals finally noticed. Cuthbert just made his first start yesterday for the AA Northwest Arkansas Naturals. The #9 rated third baseman got his average up to .280 and ranked second in the league in doubles (21) before being called up.

8. Kevin Gausman: After only 13 starts in the minors, the 35th ranked prospect was called up to Baltimore and made his major league debut on May 23rd. The ex Bowie Baysox pitcher was having a decent season with a 3.11 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 46 innings. Although it sounds like he will be back up with the big club soon, the Orioles optioned him to AAA Norfolk after his last start. From all reports, it sounds like it will be a short live stay.

 

Breaking down the Future: Cheslor Cuthbert

It seems like the future of the American League is going to be log jammed in the All Star Game at the third base position. Miguel Cabrera, Adrian Beltre, Evan Longoria, and Manny Machado should get all the votes there for some time. However, we may have to add one more name there with in the next couple of years; Cheslor Cuthbert.

Cuthbert, who is not ranked in the top 100 prospects on MLB.COM but is ranked as the 9th best third base prospect, looks like he could be playing for the Royals within the next two to three seasons. With the single A Wilimington Blue Rocks, Cheslor ranks 2nd in the Eastern League with 17 doubles and is batting a reasonable .273. He doesn’t strike out much (33 in 51 games) and is able to drive the ball to all parts of the field. He is also a very good fielding third baseman. Today against the Frederick Keys, he fielded a ball deep to the third base side and showed he had a cannon for an arm by getting the runner out fairly easily.

Of all the prospects I have seen this year, he has the best over all swing. He doesn’t over swing at pitches and keeps his head down on the ball. A good sign for his future power is shown in all the doubles he has this year. He hit two more today and the first one just missed going out to deep center.

Cheslor is still 20 years old and the Royals seem content on letting him develop his game with Wilmington. However with the struggles of another former high prospect currently playing in Kansas City, Mike Moustakas, that philosophy could change. A late call up to AA Arkansas may be in the cards.

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